Trump’s Return: Assessing Implications for Global Trade and US-India Trade Ties

By Biswajit Dhar | Briefing Paper #66 | November 25, 2024

US President-elect Donald Trump made two promises that were not only laced with populism, but were also presented as the essential elements of his economic policy. First, he promised an across-the-board increase in import tariffs: 60% tariffs would be imposed on US imports from China, while imports from all other trade partners would range from 10-20%, and higher than 200% for vehicles from Mexico. Secondly, pledged the US would “take other countries’ jobs” if he returned to the White House, as he unveiled his plans to drastically reduce taxes…

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What Does Trump 2.0 Mean for Global Trade?

By Kavaljit Singh | Briefing Paper # 65 | November 16, 2024

As President-elect Donald John Trump returns to the White House, all eyes are on the critical decisions shaping his second-term agenda regarding cross-border trade, immigration, climate-related policies, and deregulation initiatives. In particular, his protectionist trade agenda outlined during the campaign trail for the 2024 elections will have major repercussions for the United States and the world at large. His return has sparked concerns about potential disruptions to cross-border trade flows and what his second term means for global trade and multilateral trade rules.

As the world grapples with the potential…

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Three Key Issues Before the 13th Ministerial Conference of the WTO

By Biswajit Dhar | Briefing Paper # 64 | February 19, 2024

Later this month, Trade Ministers of the World Trade Organization (WTO) would meet for their 13th Ministerial Conference (MC13) in Abu Dhabi at a time when the multilateral trading system is losing its existential battle. This “ruled-based organisation” mandated to ensure orderly conduct of global trade through a set of rules that were mostly negotiated before 1990 when the organisation had less than 100 members. Over the past four and a half decades, the needs and aspirations of members in the realm of trade have changed beyond recognition as…

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India’s Experience with Investment Treaty Disputes and Related Damages

By Tathagata Choudhury | Briefing Paper # 63 | August 17, 2023

 India is an attractive destination for foreign investment (among the top 10 investment-importing countries) and is increasingly growing as an outward investor (among the top 20 investment-exporting countries). and has been relatively active in signing bilateral investment treaties (BIT).

Like most older generation BITs, these treaties were negotiated to promote foreign investment and, in line with the existing BIT models,…

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What Ails the G20 Common Framework for Debt Treatments Beyond the DSSI?

By Biswajit Dhar | Briefing Paper # 62 | July 7, 2023

One of the more significant tasks before the G20 countries is to find a lasting solution to the problem of external debt in developing countries, in particular low-income countries, whose vulnerabilities have exacerbated since the onset of the COVID-induced downturn. At the urgings of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of the grouping took their first initiative to address the problem of debt vulnerabilities in low-income countries during their meeting in April 2020. They lent their support to the…

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